The loss of a human skills base is definitely one of the things that worries me most about AI-based tools invading the software development field.
To me, that's the biggest thing. However, most of of those that are even customers don't really care. Some will, but not most. While I don't think the industry that can still do things by hand/manual will ever go away, the market will shrink and there will be more of a demand of better quality because of that. Radio didn't kill the stage totally, movies didn't kill radio (I listen to far more NTR (not NPR, NTR) compared to actually dealing with movies/TV now (ironically some movies/TV are written in such a way as if they assume people aren't watching them, go figure))
I would like to think the AI-based tools will only harm visual creative workers who are imposters -people who don't have actual creative talent, lack the skills to hand-draw/paint using traditional analog tools or at can't at least use the manual digital tools in apps like Illustrator to create clean, precise, professional looking artwork. Someone who is dependent on LiveTrace to do a vector conversion of a well known logo should be in more jeopardy than someone who can do a more precise job using the manual tools.
Unfortunately, not in my experience. Most customers don't really care beyond how much it affects their pocketbook. Again some do, but they are not the majority. As take has progressed and how abstracted away the knowledge, most people don't even realize what goes into even simple tasks anymore. Given that there is even going to be a prompter problem due to the lack of reading/writing (which will affect creativity in story telling as well, we are already seeing it), pretty soon that will have to be abstracted away as well. "AI" is just the final nail, this downward slide has been going on for just about 20 yrs now in our culture. Either people will just acquiesce to the current situation or maybe there will be a revival. I'm hoping for a revival, but I just don't know.
Unfortunately "professional quality" isn't the standard. With AI, "good enough to get by" is the new standard. If lots of creative workers are going to lose their jobs due to AI the job losses will be indiscriminate. There won't be any picking between real artisans and hacks. If anything, the folks with greater skill sets could be in more danger since they might have been pulling in bigger paychecks.
Oh you know it will be those that are pulling in the bigger paychecks. Even if they hire back those that knew what they were doing, the contract will be far less forgiving compared to what it was before, but given the job market otherwise, still may not have a choice.
Earlier someone mentioned AI being similar to the arrival of vinyl cutters and how it destroyed a lot of hand-lettering work. I don't agree with that comparison.
I've seen that comparison and I have seen the one of just the arrival of Ai/Ps in general being equated as the same thing. It's not, especially if using the more manual tools and those that have an analog counterpart, not all do and not in all industries as well. For instance, layers doesn't really have an analog counter part in the same way that layers in Ps/Ai. The exception being in 2D animation. Background plate will be one layer, have sfx in another layer, character animation on another layer and all compiled within the picture taking process or within a NLE.
Computer driven vinyl cutters were a big step forward for the
sign industry. Same goes for the routing tables. Both raised the quality bar. They did far more precise work at reproducing letter styles and logos onto real-world materials.
They were only as precise as their source file though. That's the key thing, is how much involvement is there of the person in it
AI is not raising the quality bar. It's a move backwards. The technology may do things very fast, but it doesn't generate things accurately. I think "slop" is a very fitting word. It sure isn't art.
Art is lumped in with the "humanities", that alone would preclude "AI" from creating art. At least within the realm of traditional art (not necessarily "traditional" in terms of analog). We bring in a lot of baggage within each piece that we do that "AI" just isn't doing. Even if it did, unless it's "evolution" goes in a totally radical direction, it could only simulate it nothing more.
Now, this isn't even getting into the legal implications of IP, NDAs (especially if not using self hosted that has no outside connection what so ever) within projects or if pulling in things that have different licenses or supposed to be in fact closed off and not available as well. There are a lot of implications here. Ironically, even health implications as well. Cognitive decline being a big one and guess what, this also stunts creativity. All in the name of "efficiency". A big reason why I don't like "AI" even for brainstorming. But I also think not everyone has a passion for their respective trade, just another grift to make money, no real skill/talent low barrier to entry just make that scratch and run.
Ironically, even simple tools have affected cognitive decline (I think there has been a study that says this current generation is actually worse off in that area compared to the previous), most of which we are used to by now that would be hard to put away. I imagine that the affects of "AI" in this regard will be even more of an issue.